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As economic development proceeds, a large proportion of the farm labour force must shift from agriculture into other pursuits. This fundamental shift in the labour force is made possible, of course, by an enormous increase in output per worker as agriculture becomes modernized. This increase in output stems from various factors. Where land is plentiful the output per worker is likely to be higher because it is possible to employ more fertilizer and machinery per worker. As agriculture becomes modernized, its dependence upon land as well as upon human labour decreases. Animal power and machinery are substituted for human labour; mechanical power then replaces animal power. The substitution of mechanical power for animal power also reduces the need for land. The increased use of fertilizer as modernization occurs also acts as a substitute for both land and labour; the same is true of herbicides and insecticides. By making it possible to produce more per unit of land and per hour of work, less land and labour are required for a given amount of output. Agriculture has been declining since the mid-20th century in its share of the gross domestic product and in the number of its workers; less than one-third of Brazil's labour force is employed in farming and stock raising. The country is essentially self-sufficient in basic foodstuffs and is a leading exporter of a wide range of tropical crops. Unlike most of the other Latin-American countries, Brazil has increased agricultural production by greatly enlarging its cultivated area since World War II. Yet only about 9 percent of the land area is cultivated, much of it in small holdings using relatively primitive technology; another 20 percent is used for stock raising. Mechanized farming is still somewhat rare in Brazil, and it is mostly employed in the South and Southeast. Few tractors are available in the Northeast although that region contains about half of Brazil's farms; most of these are less than 12.4 acres (five hectares) in size, however. Some large-scale government irrigation projects have been built in the Northeast, but they were costly and support only a limited number of farm families on individual plots or on cotton plantations. Sufficient water at the proper time makes possible the full use of technology in farming--including the proper application of fertilizers, suitable crop rotations, and the use of more productive varieties of crops. Expanding irrigation is an absolute necessity to extend crop acreage in significant amounts; it may be the most productive of possible improvements on present cropland. First, there is the possibility of making wider use of irrigation in districts that already have a high rate of output. Second, there is the possibility of irrigating nonproductive land, especially in arid zones. The greatest immediate economic returns might well come from irrigating productive districts, but irrigation of arid zones has a larger long-range appeal. Most of the arid zones, occupying more than one-third of the landmass of the globe, are in the tropics. Generally, they are rich in solar energy, and their soils are rich in nutrients, but they lack water. Mechanization faces many obstacles before wide adoption is possible in tropical regions. Difficult soils, stones, stumps, abundant labour, resistance from farmers, lack of incentives, lack of skills, lack of capital, low wages, high cost of machines, lack of dealer service, fragmented land ownership, all contribute to slow development of mechanization. Tropical soils differ markedly from those in the countries that manufacture land-preparation machinery, making adaptation of new design necessary. The encountering of stones, wood, trash, and termite mounds causes machines to break down. Depressing climatic conditions reduce the performance of the machine operators. Tropical farm regions are notoriously irregular or mountainous, impeding intensive machine culture. The best soils in Brazil require special erosion controls, reducing the potential for large-scale mechanization. One of the greatest overall impediments to mechanization is the fear that unemployment might result from it, a failure to understand that economic development and higher living standards depend partly on increasing the productivity of labour. Taking the largest view of possibilities for improving tropical agriculture, the most promising inputs of technology are improved crop varieties and increased use of fertilizers. | |||||||||||||||||||||||
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